
Another call, another “something around TWO”. This is one numeric code uttered from every caller that I can decipher and answer without further cerebral activity, “sorry...there is nothing” is my response, cringing with guilt each time I am forced to repeat the answer. Then I hear their upping the ante to a brave “two and a half” followed by a reluctant whisper of “three...maybe”.
This has become my frequent dialogue with the countless number of Yorkville property investment hopefuls. Yorkville is right in my own backyard and what has happened to this Yonge, Bloor, Avenue, and Davenport quadrant in recent years is simply jaw dropping. Wealthy property investors have long favoured Yorkville as one of the city’s most desirable places to sprinkle their money. But it has transformed and leaped beyond the heights of even the most optimistic investors’ imagination in the last decade; an outrageous number of new ultra luxury condominium developments has allowed a rejuvenated lifestyle Mecca for those affluent and liberated empty nesters and international value seekers alike.
I remember a few years ago passionately dissuading a client of mine to opt out of a Yorkville property deal for its lack of supporting economics and fundamentals. As a preaching financial management advisor and a conscientious realtor, I felt this property referred as a “trophy” simply failed to meet the prudent investment criteria, nor did it possess any aesthetic appeal. Furthermore the expression trophy property was simply too foofoo for a seriously number savvy professional like me. As a result, my loyal and faithful client had reluctantly foregone the opportunity against her gut feeling. I was rather dismayed to discover recently that the property has been sold 120 percent higher, sans improvements, than the inflated price of a million my client would have paid 4 years ago. Ouch, I shrieked! I must ponder how I can relay this revelation without the danger of a nuclear explosion...
We use a common property valuation term “capitalization rate” or simply a “cap rate” in sizing up the value and investment worthiness of an income property. Finding the cap rate involves nothing more than a simple mathematical formula, and yet it can be the most complex concept. Achieving the commonly desired cap rate of 8% has become ever so elusive in the recent years, it has turned into a bit of mythical number in the world of downtown commercial property investment. If anyone is interested in securing a piece of this neighbourhood soil, I forewarn the contestants that God is not in the cap rate (a good topic for my next blog).
I digressed, but the point is this: The TWO million, which was once the magic number exchanged to win a decent piece of Yorkville geography, has simply ceased to be one. Most standing structures possessing any income potential at all have long left the two million dollar wagon, but boarded a THREE million dollar train. So the next time when I am speaking with you, I will no longer apologize for my inability to carve up a piece of Yorkville in the TWOs, I will simply be saying THREE++, without a hint of guilt.

